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Traveling Into the Future
ESSENTIAL is launching a loose sequence of short stories, each of which is set in its own fictional future. Some of them have recurring characters and settings, and some stand on their own. The goal is to play with very different visions as creatively as possible and bring the reader along on a thought experiment: What form could our future take – and what would it mean to us?
On Energy Island No. 1
September 14, 2045. Nero the blogger has reached the first stop on his reporting trip around the zero-emissions world: an artificial island devoted to energy production, erected in the shallow East China Sea off the coast of Shanghai.
Even as comfortable as the arrival in the hyperloop capsule was, my jet lag was unchanged. On relatively long trips eastward, it always hits me especially hard. So it’s a good thing that my boss at ESSENTIAL’s editorial offices gave me plenty of time for research. I used the first few days for acclimatization and adjustment. Avar, my personal AI assistant, put together a tour of Shanghai and along the Yangtze River for me. How great it was to be back in China! Then back to work: At the energy utility Shanghai Electric, I did an interview with its president about his CO2 objectives over the next few years, which, in a very positive sense, are tied to “negative” emissions. In the future, Shanghai wants to bind up more CO2 than it emits. “A fine business model for selling CO2 rights,” Avar said by way of warning: “You sell your articles and need to produce two pieces a month, Nero. So off we go to Energy Island No. 1.”
Welcome to Energy Island!
At the crack of dawn, an electric high-speed ferry took me from Pudong harbor to Energy Island, which was raised in the shallow East China Sea five years earlier. Its position barely 60 km east of the Yangtze estuary was a special advantage: The ocean is less than fifty meters deep there. I breathed in the clear morning air, which tasted of salt, and squinted out at the open sea. As we approached the island, I saw the first signs: floating wind turbines without foundations, standing up from the water on buoys and held in position with ropes anchored into the sea floor. More than twenty years earlier, they were developed for relatively deep water but now are being tested here, above the continental shelf. We traveled past large pontoons made of plastic, on which seemingly endless rows of solar power stations were mounted. On their edges, the pontoons had huge, pneumatic chambers into which the force of the waves was directed. The water streams in and then compresses the air inside the chambers so wind turbines can generate electricity. The ferry soon headed to the small harbor at island’s north end, where Chen Lu was waiting for me. With short, precise instructions, Avar steered me toward her through a small crowd. A young engineer who works for Shanghai Electric, she was asked to give me a tour of the facilities.
“Welcome to Energy Island,” Chen Lu called to me in her nearly accent-free English. As we walked from the gangway toward the bank, she pointed to a row of large turbines just beneath the water’s surface, which surround the artificial island offshore like a coral reef. “That’s our tidal power station,” she explains and then grins: “Here we don’t just use the power of the sun but the moon as well. The ebb and flow drives 1,500 turbines, which are positioned at intervals of 30 meters around the island." Then she focused on the island itself: It is equipped with warehouses, workshops and lodging. To cut down on CO2, the harbor is the gateway to the world. Planes and helicopters only use the airport in exceptional cases, and they have to consume synthetically produced fuel.
Wind turbines keep turning, even when there is hardly any wind
“Hungry?” Chen Lu asked. “A little snack wouldn’t be bad,” I replied, although I would rather have begun the tour immediately. We picked up a few dishes of tempura with rice from a cook shop in the harbor building, and we were finally off: We traveled into the island’s interior on a small electric golf cart. The view was overwhelming: On a wide, gently rising plateau, thousands of windmills were turning in nearly constant rotation, even though there was hardly any wind. “The equipment is built in accordance with the latest zero-friction standard,” Chen Lu said. “There is almost no friction anymore in the individual machine elements. That is why the wind turbines keep turning, even when there is hardly any wind.” Avar had told me earlier about the photovoltaic elements, which are mainly positioned on the island’s southern slope: They produce electricity reliably with even relatively light solar radiation.
“And where is the battery center?” I asked. I was familiar with these centers at facilities in Europe. Chen Lu pointed back to a small building made of gray granite, which we had already passed. “That’s all? It’s that small?,” I asked again. She patiently gave me the explanation: “Our electrical production is 95 percent predictable here. We are familiar with the swells and the tides. The wind turbines turn almost constantly, and the solar power facilities have become much more independent of the weather as well.” Chen Lu turns to face the sun, which is shining down from a nearly cloudless sky. “The battery is just for emergencies. We always deliver the same amount to Shanghai Electric, our lowest output. That is how we supply 150 million households on the mainland.” We arrived at the south coast and looked out at the wide ocean. “And what happens to the surplus electricity,” I asked. Chen Lu points to a medium-sized building, which sits nearly on the coast. "We direct it to our power-to-x facility and use it to produce natural gas and liquid fuel,” she said. “For the airplanes and the heavy-duty trucks on the mainland. And for your vintage vehicles!"
My head was buzzing on the return ferry trip. Bloggers just aren’t early risers. “Avar, did you record everything? I have to write the story tomorrow.” “Sure, Nero,” Avar purred as I slowly dozed off.
More Stories About Future Files
The Right Computational Base
Inspector Lee was dealing with his trickiest case ever. His AI assistant told him that it was a 99.7 percent certainty that the death of political activist Hanna Karlsen was a suicide. But Lee was operating on the theory that artificial intelligence entities had conspired against the anti-digitalization militant.
Data scandal in Las Vegas: Several casino operators have been using monitoring devices and artificial intelligence to cheat their customers. Ironically, the scandal was discovered through the use of artificial intelligence. Hot on the trail of data activist Hanna Karlsen, Nero, an investigative blogger, decided to take a look around the desert metropolis.
Knowledge is the Opposite of Trust
Inspector Lee was dealing with his toughest case ever. The death of activist Hanna Karlsen was almost certainly a suicide, the artificial intelligence unit had told him. In fact, the probability was 99.7 percent. But during her lifetime, the anti-digitalization militant had feared retaliation from the artificial intelligence system. Just one more conspiracy theory?
Rome is still the only major city in the European Republic that refuses to prohibit self-driving in the city, citing data privacy concerns as its justification. It turns out that data activist Hanna Karlsen often visited here. Nero, an investigative blogger, traveled to the eternal city to learn more.
Death by Shopping
Inspector Lee was facing his trickiest case ever. The AI assistant had explained to him that the death of a political activist was a suicide – with 99.7 percent certainty. But during her lifetime, the anti-digitalization militant feared for her life. She believed the forces of artificial intelligence would exact their revenge. But was it just a conspiracy theory?
Future Files – The Sequel
In the year 2048, an investigator encounters a death that seems suspicious. But the artificial Intelligence system in the police computer has a different opinion. A film about digitalization and other future trends as the kickoff for our second “Future Files” article series.
Greenhouse with CO2 Absorber
May 6, 2046. How can the residents of megacities feed themselves sustainably? One answer is micro agriculture in the middle of the city. Nero, a blogger, lived for a week in a Nairobi community that can feed itself totally self-sufficiently and CO2 neutrally so he could write a first-person account of the experience.
The Cycle of Molecules
April 19, 2046. Nero, a professional blogger, is inspecting a new recycling facility in eastern Germany that separates raw materials on the molecular level. It was designed to be the basis for a global closed-loop economy that encompasses raw materials as well as the energy system.